Jeb Can Beat Hillary — But He Might Not Make it Past Primary

Jun 12, 2015
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Iowa, with its socially conservative GOP base, has never been considered a natural fit for Bush and his brand of establishment conservatism. His travel schedule to the state reflects that: Bush has visited just twice in 2015, though he plans to return next week. Some Hawkeye State Republicans doubt it will make a difference. “Not a chance,” said one Iowa Republican aligned with another candidate, when asked whether Bush could win the caucuses today. “He has shown little regard for Iowa or for what Iowans are looking for. Just not going to do well here unless he changes his game.”


Despite a spell of rough headlines and a recent campaign shake-up, 70 percent of early-state Republicans think Jeb Bush could win their state in a general election contest against Hillary Clinton. But they’re not confident he‘ll make it out of the primary. That’s the assessment of this week’s POLITICO Caucus, our bipartisan...

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