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National Hurricane Center

National Hurricane Center map showing Tropcal Storm Humberto is likely headed out to sea after affecting the already damaged Bahamas.
National Hurricane Center

A tropical depression near the Bahamas has strengthened into Tropical Storm Humberto.

Parts of the northwestern Bahamas that were recently pummeled by Hurricane Dorian are expected to experience tropical-storm-force winds and heavy rain over the weekend, but not significant storm surge.

The Cone of Uncertainty
Screenshot from National Hurricane Center website

For as long as many of us remember, the Atlantic hurricane season has come along with a cone.

And whenever it pops up, we're told not to look at it, not to focus on it. 

Now the National Hurricane Center has put out a video explaining the do’s and don'ts of using the cone.

And what it really signifies.

The first tropical storm of the year may be forming in the Atlantic, even though the Atlantic Hurricane Season doesn't officially start until June 1.

National Hurricane Center forecasters said, according to a special statement issued Monday afternoon, that there is a 70 percent chance a tropical or subtropical system will form a few hundred miles southwest of Bermuda in the next 48 hours. A Hurricane Hunter Aircraft flew into the area of disturbed weather, referred to by Meteorologists as “Invest 90”, Monday afternoon. A second flight is also scheduled Tuesday, if necessary.

forecasted rainfall for florida
Florida Public Radio Emergency Network

A non-tropical disturbance is expected to approach Florida Thursday and Friday, producing summer-like downpours and thunderstorms across much of the state.

A non-tropical disturbance is expected to approach Florida Thursday and Friday, producing summer-like downpours and thunderstorms across much of the state.

The National Hurricane Center is not forecasting this disturbance to become tropical as it approaches Florida, although it does have a “low chance” of becoming a tropical depression or storm as it moves away from Florida this weekend.

Although the Atlantic hurricane season begins on June 1st, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the National Weather Service (NWS) and the National Hurricane Center (NHC) use the months in between for critical research.

So what effect might a prolonged federal government shutdown have on hurricane forecasting and research?

Florida Public Radio Emergency Network

Tropical Storm Gordon is strengthening and should hit the central U.S. Gulf Coast as a hurricane late Tuesday before moving over the lower Mississippi Valley on Wednesday.

Caribbean Comes Alive, but Not a Likely Threat

Jun 12, 2018

An area of disturbed weather in the southwest Caribbean Sea has caught the eye of forecasters at the National Hurricane Center. In an outlook issued Monday afternoon, the system was labeled as having a “low chance” of developing over the next five days.

With the impending arrival of Hurricane Irma, thousands of Floridians left the state because of potential high storm surge, which is the rise of sea level that results from wind forces.

Doug Constantine from Cape Coral asked: "With FEMA recently scaring several million people into an evacuation, where they predicted storm surge of almost 20 feet and they were wrong and they’ve been wrong before. How many times can they yell the sky is falling?

The former head of the National Hurricane Center has some last minute tips for Floridians preparing for Irma.

State Bracing For Hurricane Irma

Sep 6, 2017

Gov. Rick Scott warned Floridians on Tuesday that powerful Hurricane Irma will start impacting the state by the end of the week — it's just not clear where.

The moisture from Tropical Storm Harvey has already produced flash flooding near Pensacola, and more heavy rain is possible across north Florida through Friday.

It’s that time of year again, the Atlantic hurricane season is upon us. This week on Florida Matters we’re taking a look at how various areas of the state are preparing for hurricane season, and at some new changes in storm response efforts.


Rainfall predictions through Wednesday.
Florida Public Radio Emergency Network

UPDATED 6/5 AT 11:45 A.M. WITH MANATEE COUNTY INFORMATION
As the National Weather Service predicts heavy rainfall in the Tampa Bay area over the next few days due to a Tropical Storm Colin, a number of local counties are taking a variety of measures to prepare for the storm, including making sandbags available to residents.

Tropical System Threatening Florida

Jun 3, 2016

Ready or not, a tropical system could threaten Florida as early as Monday. Whether it has a name or not, heavy rain and flooding will be the biggest potential hazards. The panhandle is likely to be spared, but much of the peninsula could be soaked by several inches of rain over a two-day period starting Monday. If the system strengthens into a formidable tropical storm, minor wind damage and coastal flooding will also be possible somewhere from the Nature Coast to the Florida Keys.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=1&v=bBa9bVYKLP0

It’s not enough to just say you’ll be ready. National Hurricane Center Director Dr. Rick Knabb says you need a plan. And it’s easy.

New Era of Hurricane Alerting Begins

May 26, 2015

  The number one killer from a hurricane is water, not wind. A hurricane warning, however, has always been issued for the wind, not the water. This conflict of messaging has prompted the National Hurricane Center to re-think their products in recent years. Social science research and upgrades in GIS technology have enabled them to better define where and when the water might be life-threatening, and this is not always at the same location or at the same time the hurricane force winds may arrive.

National Hurricane Center

Tropical Storm Bertha has formed, becoming the second named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season.

The U.S. Hurricane Center in Miami said the tropical storm's maximum sustained winds Thursday night were near 45 mph.

The storm is centered about 275 miles southeast of Barbados and about 385 miles southeast of St. Lucia, and is moving northwest at 20 mph.

A tropical storm warning has been issued for Barbados and Dominica. A tropical storm watch has been issued for Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands.

US National Weather Service Tampa Bay office

A tropical depression has formed off the coast of Florida and is expected to develop fairly quickly into the first named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season.

The U.S. National Hurricane Center said Tropical Depression One formed Monday and had maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph (55 kph), with higher gusts. It was centered 105 miles (170 kms) east-southeast of Cape Canaveral and was moving southwest at about 2 mph (4 kph).

A tropical-storm watch was in effect Monday night for the east coast of Florida from Fort Pierce northward to just south of Flagler Beach.

Dalia Colón / WUSF

The Atlantic hurricane season is in full swing. We've already been introduced to tropical storms Andrea and Barry.

But have you ever thought about the folks who share a name with an infamous hurricane? Meet Katrina, Wilma and Dennis.

Dalia Dangerfield / Bay News 9

Andrea, the first tropical storm of the 2013 Atlantic hurricane season, is drenching the Bay Area, bringing some tornado damage along with it.

The entire Tampa Bay area is under a tropical storm warning. There's also a flood watch through 8 p.m. and a tornado watch until 11 a.m.

The National Hurricane Center reported Andrea was about 160 miles west of Tampa Bay at 7 a.m., moving to the northeast at 14 miles per hour, with 60 MPH sustained winds with stronger gusts. It's expected to make landfall north of Levy County by Thursday evening.