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Update 5:00 PM Monday: The season’s third tropical depression has formed between the Bahamas and Florida.

The National Hurricane Center says it’s located about 120 miles southeast of West Palm Beach as of the 5 PM advisory. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph. The depression is moving toward the northwest at 13 mph.

The depression is not forecast to reach tropical storm status. There are no changes to the forecast of locally heavy rain and gusty winds outlined in the 3 PM update below.

Severe Storm Risk Blowing Through Tampa Bay, All Of Florida

Apr 19, 2019
There's a risk of severe storms across Florida today, including a tornado watch through 4 p.m.
Florida Public Radio Emergency Network

A tornado watch is in effect until 4 p.m. for northeast, north-central, and west-central Florida, including the Tampa Bay area.

Update 1:20 p.m. The National Weather Service in Ruskin has issued a severe thunderstorm warning for a large portion of the Tampa Bay area until 2:30 p.m.

Those areas include Hillsborough County, Pinellas County, Pasco County, northwestern Manatee County, Hernando County, southeastern Citrus County and Sumter County. 

Fewer hurricanes are expected this year than the last two seasons, according to renowned researcher Dr. Phil Klotzbach of Colorado State University. However, both of those seasons far outperformed expectations.

Even Phil doesn't have much confidence in his forecast this time of year.

“So our skill in April is modest, and that's because the hurricane season doesn't start until June and then doesn't ramp up until August. So obviously there's a lot that could change in the atmosphere and ocean,” he says.

A few strong thunderstorms are possible across the Florida Panhandle Wednesday evening, then across portions of the peninsula early Thursday morning.

The storm system that produced severe thunderstorms across portions of Florida Thursday has a mean back side that will sweep across the state Friday. High winds, dangerous surf, and coastal flooding are possible along all coastlines of the Sunshine State, and gusty winds might also cause minor wind damage in some inland locations.

Tornado Risk, Wind And Rain Passing Through Tampa Bay, Most Of Florida

Dec 20, 2018
Florida Public Radio Emergency Network

High winds and tornadoes passed through the Tampa Bay area Thursday morning, as yet another strong storm system sweeps across the state.

Florida Public Radio Emergency Network

Updated at 2:12 a.m. Tuesday

Michael gained new strength over warm tropical waters amid fears it would swiftly intensify into a major hurricane before striking Florida's northeast Gulf Coast, where frantic coastal dwellers are boarding up homes and seeking evacuation routes away from the dangerous storm heading their way.

Update Sunday 1 pm: The National Hurricane Center issued an intermediary update Sunday afternoon to advise that “satellite wind data indicated the depression has strengthened” into a tropical storm and has now acquired the name Michael. The story below has been revised to include this new information.

Tropical Development Likely in the Gulf by Monday

Oct 7, 2018

A tropical depression or storm is likely to form near the Yucatan Peninsula by Monday. It is then forecast to move north and potentially threaten portions of the Florida's Gulf Coast by midweek. Floridians from Pensacola to Tampa should closely monitor the progress of this developing situation.

 

Florence became a hurricane again Sunday morning, and is forecast to rapidly intensify into a major hurricane by Monday. There is a growing concern that Florence will be a dangerous, slow-moving and significant threat to the Mid-Atlantic states later this week.

Tropical Storm Warning Issued for Tampa Bay Area As Alberto Heads Toward Gulf

May 26, 2018
Florida Public Radio Emergency Network

The National Weather Service issued a Tropical Storm Warning at 5 p.m. Saturday for parts of the Tampa Bay area, as Subtropical Storm Alberto continues to travel into the Gulf of Mexico.

Tornado Watch North and Central Florida

Mar 20, 2018

A Tornado Watch has been issued for all north & central Florida until 7 pm. The potential exists for a significant outbreak of severe thunderstorms capable of producing a tornado, destructive wind gusts up to 70 mph, and hail as large as nickels.

According to the latest data from the Florida Public Radio Emergency Network team of meteorologists, here is when the risk is the greatest for various regions around Florida.

Arctic Blasts Arrive With The New Year

Jan 1, 2018
FPREN

While 2017 may have been the warmest year on record in Florida, the start of 2018 is proving to be frigid.

A freeze is likely in portions of the Sunshine State each of the first seven mornings of the new year, with multiple hard freezes in a row possible north of Interstate 4.  The brutal air mass that cancelled New Year’s Eve celebrations in dozens of states could send subfreezing temperatures as far south as Lake Okeechobee by week’s end.

Irma Now a Category 4 with an Eye on Florida

Sep 4, 2017

Irma strengthened Monday afternoon to a Category 4 storm, and the latest forecast data suggests the Major Hurricane will approach South Florida this weekend. It was too soon to make or deny that call in the past few days, but it’s now time for all Floridians in a hurricane prone area - no matter which coast you live along - to take Irma seriously.

Major Hurricane Irma Churns Westward

Sep 4, 2017
Florida Public Radio Emergency Network

Hurricane Irma remains a major Category 3 hurricane and appears to be heading toward Florida this weekend.

As of 11 a.m. Monday morning, it was located about 560 miles to the east of the Leeward Islands.

Numerous Flood Warnings Issued in Southwest Florida

Aug 27, 2017

It has been raining along the southwest coast of Florida for the majority of the past three days. While not nearly as severe or widespread as the flooding in Texas from former Hurricane Harvey, many residents from Bradenton to Naples are finding roads closed and cars stalled because of the high water.

Hurricane Center Watching Two Tropical Waves

Aug 4, 2017

The most active period of the Atlantic hurricane season is quickly approaching, and there are two areas of interest to keep an eye on. Neither system is an immediate threat to Florida, but one in particular could be cause for concern in about a week.

Florida Public Radio Emergency Network

Hurricane Matthew sideswiped Florida's Atlantic coast Friday, toppling trees onto homes and knocking out power to more than 800,000 people but sparing the most heavily populated stretch of shoreline the catastrophic blow many had feared.

Serious Storms Crossing The State Tuesday Night, Wednesday

Feb 23, 2016
Florida Public Radio Emergency Network

A vigorous front will sweep across Florida Tuesday night and Wednesday, triggering numerous thunderstorms capable of producing wind damage and even a few tornadoes.

The risk of severe weather is highest in the Florida Panhandle Tuesday night and Wednesday morning, and it will then spread south and east during the day Wednesday.  The front will weaken and exit South Florida Wednesday evening.

El Niño Has Peaked, So Now What?

Feb 14, 2016

We learned this week that winter isn’t over. Neither are the influences from a near-record El Niño. In their monthly discussion, NOAA said Thursday that the El Niño “will likely weaken and transition to a neutral phase by late spring or early summer”.

The damage, per se, has been done. Record rains and eight tornadoes hit south Florida over a span of two weeks in January. This was followed by a cold snap that sent temperatures below freezing multiple mornings in a row across north Florida. 

Get Ready For More Rain

Sep 28, 2015
Florida Public Radio Emergency Network

Many meteorologists have used the phrase "rain without a name" over the years, to describe heavy rain from a tropical weather system that isn't officially named.

For some Floridians, this has happened twice already this summer. And that's just what may happen with Invest 99, the disturbance the National Hurricane Center is monitoring over the southern Gulf of Mexico.