Is Romney Ahead by 6 Points in Florida...or Are Things Tied?
Depends. Whom do you believe?
The Tampa Bay Times/Bay News 9 poll out today shows that 6 percent lead for Romney in Florida. It's consistent with earier polls by the same group, Mason-Dixon.
But other polls have the race in Florida tied or Obama slightly ahead. Nate Silver of the New York Times has Romey ahead by a tiny .6 percent in its polling average. (see below)
Both Obama and Romney are in Florida this week -- another sign they see the Florida race as close.
|Polling average||47.5||48.1||Romney +0.6|
|Adjusted polling average||47.7||47.7||Tie|
|State fundamentals||45.6||49.0||Romney +3.4|
|Projected vote share ±3.0||49.5||49.9||Romney +0.4|
|Chance of winning||45%||55%|