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Politics / Issues

Is Romney Ahead by 6 Points in Florida...or Are Things Tied?

romney_obama_debate_2012_10_04.jpg

Depends. Whom do you believe?

The Tampa Bay Times/Bay News 9 poll out today shows that 6 percent lead for Romney in Florida.  It's consistent with earier polls by the same group, Mason-Dixon.

But other polls have the race in Florida tied or Obama slightly ahead. Nate Silver of the New York Times has Romey ahead by a tiny .6 percent in its polling average. (see below)

Both Obama and Romney are in Florida this week -- another sign they see the Florida race as close.


Florida

FIVETHIRTYEIGHT PROJECTIONSDEMREPMARGIN
Polling average47.548.1Romney +0.6
Adjusted polling average47.747.7Tie
State fundamentals45.649.0Romney +3.4
Now-cast47.547.8Romney +0.3
Projected vote share ±3.049.549.9Romney +0.4
Chance of winning45%55%