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Florida’s Coronavirus Peak Expected April 21

Institute for Health Metrics Evaluation
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Florida’s projected peak of COVID-19 cases is now expected to come sooner. Researchers at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation now say Florida will have its peak April 21, with 242 people dying in a single day.

Previous projections had the peak happening on May 3rd.

IHME Founder Dr. Christopher Murray said Florida’s peak will be sooner because of changes in their model – and because Florida had a one-day spike that tapered off.

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“The number of deaths per day in Florida have been on a relatively slow trajectory of increase,” said Murray.

“Our peak is still out around April 23, because of that later implementation of the stay-at-home order, but there’s quite a lot of uncertainty in the forecasted range because of the numbers going up and down.”

Florida is projected to have a total of 6,770 deaths by August 4th.

The state is projected to be short 769 intensive care beds, and will need a total of more than 2,000 ventilators.

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Copyright 2020 Health News Florida

Health News Florida reporter Abe Aboraya works for WMFE in Orlando. He started writing for newspapers in high school. After graduating from the University of Central Florida in 2007, he spent a year traveling and working as a freelance reporter for the Seattle Times and the Seattle Weekly, and working for local news websites in the San Francisco Bay area. Most recently Abe worked as a reporter for the Orlando Business Journal. He comes from a family of health care workers.